29th March 2004

IMMEDIATE JOB PROSPECTS FOR PUBLIC SECTOR FORECAST TO GROW
Manpower: 1 in 5 public sector employers plan to add to their payrolls in Q2

Despite Gordon Brown’s announcement regarding job losses in various Whitehall departments, employers in the public sector as a whole are looking to expand their workforce for the three months until the end of June, according to survey results released by Manpower today. On balance, 20% of employers in the public sector intend to increase staffing levels for the quarter ahead. This result is higher than the second quarter average for the sector over the last 13 years.

Comments Ruth Hounslow, Head of Public Affairs at Manpower: “Our survey is reporting that employers in the public sector for the three months ahead, will continue to provide for their current staffing needs on the basis of how they have operated in recent quarters.

“There are over 5 million people working in the public sector¹. Brown’s speech highlights that there will be a gross reduction of 54,000 public sector posts by 2008 but after redeployment, a reduction of 40,500 staff². These cuts, over a four-year time period, should not have a negative affect on overall employer confidence in the sector. Indeed, despite the public emphasis on specific civil service job losses, the number of public sector jobs overall is still due to rise by 360,000 between 2003 and 2006.³

”As with many other sectors, it is struggling to find the right skills for the jobs available. Public sector employers have as much of a training and skills challenge as the private sector.”

Anecdotal opinion suggests that employer confidence within the public sector is still buoyant and skilled workforces in much need as ever:

Comments Alan Warner, Director of People and Property for Hertfordshire County Council: “ From our experience as one of the largest recruiters of staff in Hertfordshire, it is highly likely that public sector hiring will continue as usual provided skilled people continue to come forward to help meet the positions we need to fill. You have to remember that we mainly employ people who are providing direct services to the community and in some cases for instance, social care that is particularly difficult. It is a constant pressure to get the right people into these very important jobs.”

Unique in its predictive nature, the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey provides a forecast of employer hiring intentions for the quarter ahead: April to June 2004. The public sector falls under the community and social services category within the Manpower survey.

Within the sub-sectors making up the community and social services sector, 34% of employers in public admin and defence plan to take on staff, which is almost double the national average for job prospects in the UK (16%). Similarly, employers in the health sub-sector intend to add to their pay rolls for the three month until the end of June (23%), as do employers in the education sub-sector, despite recording a drop in hiring intentions from a quarter and year ago.

Adds Hounslow: “There will be ongoing recruitment programmes in the education and health sectors as they continue to battle with skill shortages in these areas. The education sub-sector may be recording slightly deflated figures but this is not the time of the year when employers in education are likely to be recruiting. Schools tend not to recruit around Easter time and the lead into the summer vacation because of the nature of the school year. ”

Ends

NOTES TO EDITORS

¹Office of National Statistics: Jobs in the Public and Private sectors Author: Claire Hardwidge ISSN: 0013 0400
²Budget 2004
³Guardian 18 March 2004

Commentary and full details on every sector and region can found in the survey report at www.manpower.co.uk or by calling the Press Office on 020 8870 2214 / nicky@saltlondon.com or zoe@saltlondon.com

For international comparisons and visual library with graphs, visit www.manpower.com

About the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey

Manpower is a leading recruiter of permanent, temporary and contract workforces, employing around 100,000 people in the UK each year. The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey, [formerly Manpower’s Quarterly Survey of Employment Prospects] is conducted quarterly to measure employers’ hiring intentions for the forthcoming quarter. Unique in its predictive nature, the Survey is widely used in Government and industry, including The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee as evidence of labour market activity. The Survey has been running for more than 40 years and is based on 2,500 interviews with public and private employers in the UK and 35,000 interviews collectively across 18 countries worldwide. See www.manpower.com for global reports.


About Manpower

Manpower is the UK’s leading workforce management company, specialising in permanent and temporary recruitment, HR services, managed services, outsourcing and HR consultancy.

Manpower has been established in the UK since 1956 and today works with organisations in both the public and private sector. Manpower’s UK-wide network of 300 offices allows the company to meet the needs of local and national customers. This includes numerous small and medium sized enterprises, as well as larger organisations such as BMW, BT, Heinz, Hertfordshire County Council, IBM, National Blood Service, New Deal South Wales, Royal Mail and Xerox.

The focus of Manpower’s work is on raising productivity through improved quality, efficiency and cost-reduction, enabling customers to concentrate on their core business.

Manpower has a highly skilled workforce of 100,000 temporary employees who stay loyal to the company (and its customers) thanks to best in class employment benefits. These include a contract of employment and a free e-learning tool offering staff over 1,000 courses in a diverse range of subjects, keeping Manpower’s workforce up to date with today’s ever-changing working environment.

See www.manpower.co.uk

For further information, please contact the Manpower Press Office on 020 8870 2214. Or you can e-mail us by selecting Press Office from the Contact Us page.